Covering the Houston metro. No account, no paywall, nothing to buy. Built for anyone deciding where to open, and for the people who advise them.
The projected chance that a specific business type lasts two or more years at a specific address.
Most people choose a location on rent, on a walk-through, and on a feeling about foot traffic. Those are the things you can see standing on the sidewalk. What you cannot see is whether that block has actually supported your kind of business over time, or whether the businesses that lasted there were a different kind entirely.
That question is answerable before a lease is signed, and it is what this research covers for Houston.
Across Houston addresses, a middle eastern restaurant ranges from about 30% to 89% projected two-year survival, a spread of 59 percentage points. A seafood restaurant ranges from about 47% to 82%, a spread of only 35. For one of those, the address is close to the whole decision. For the other, it barely moves the answer.
This is the single most useful thing to tell someone early. It tells them how much of their energy belongs on the site search.
| Business type | Projected 2-year survival across Houston | Spread | How Houston ranks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Eastern Restaurant | 30% to 89% | 59 pp | #15 of 24 metros |
| Irish Pub | 24% to 84% | 60 pp | #19 of 24 metros |
| Thai Restaurant | 29% to 88% | 59 pp | #13 of 24 metros |
| Fish Chips Restaurant | 22% to 80% | 58 pp | #17 of 24 metros |
| Barbecue Restaurant | 32% to 88% | 56 pp | #19 of 24 metros |
| Business type | Projected 2-year survival across Houston | Spread | How Houston ranks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seafood Restaurant | 47% to 82% | 35 pp | #21 of 24 metros |
| Falafel Restaurant | 50% to 83% | 33 pp | #10 of 24 metros |
| French Restaurant | 62% to 98% | 36 pp | #6 of 24 metros |
| Modern European Restaurant | 61% to 97% | 36 pp | #7 of 15 metros |
| Nicaraguan Restaurant | 62% to 98% | 36 pp | #6 of 24 metros |
| Business type | Projected 2-year survival across Houston | Spread | How Houston ranks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dentist Office | 48% to 85% | 37 pp | #2 of 24 metros |
| Dance Club | 58% to 97% | 39 pp | #3 of 24 metros |
| Pet Boarding Facility | 61% to 98% | 37 pp | #3 of 24 metros |
| Greek Restaurant | 56% to 98% | 42 pp | #4 of 24 metros |
| Hawaiian Restaurant | 56% to 98% | 42 pp | #4 of 24 metros |
Across 63 Houston neighborhoods, South Main is the strongest on average, at about 81% projected two-year survival, with its best locations near 89%. Alief averages about 71%.
Averages hide the thing that matters. A single block can beat an entire neighborhood's ranking, and every low-ranked neighborhood contains locations that beat the metro average. Use the neighborhood view to narrow a search, not to rule an area out.
The model is trained on roughly a million business outcomes and scores 500+ business types across up to five price tiers in 24 U.S. metros. Of everything it considers, the Revenue Capture Score, our own measure of projected market share against forecasted local spend, carries the most predictive weight.
Data as of 2026-08-30. Geographic scope: the Houston metro area, 63 neighborhoods.
This page is free and open on purpose. If it would be useful to the people you serve, you are welcome to share it, add it to a resource list, or use it in advising. Nothing is expected in return.
Business Planning, Market Research, Site Selection, or Starting a Business.
I am Bobby, the founder. I built StreetSpring after watching good operators sign leases on blocks that had never supported their kind of business. If you want the PDF, want to book a session, or think something on this page is wrong, write to me directly.
Bobby | StreetSpring